A US Section 301 investigation into Germany's drug pricing, a German manufacturer rebate rising to 15.5% from January 2027, and an EU push for life sciences competitiveness are now acting on the same global pharma companies at once. This paper sets out what each policy does, how companies are responding, and which milestones will show the practical effect.
- Germany's rebate rises to 15.5%
- The 2026 GKV stabilization law adds 8.5 points to the existing 7% manufacturer rebate on patent protected medicines from 1 January 2027.[2][3]
- A German location clause is proposed, not law
- On 29 September 2026 an expert panel proposed that companies with clinical trials, research, production and collectively agreed jobs in Germany pay a lower rebate.[4][5]
- The Section 301 investigation is open
- USTR held its public hearing on 22 September 2026 and has announced no determination.[6][7]
- US tariffs now apply to patented drugs
- A 100% Section 232 tariff applies from 31 July 2026 for listed companies and from 29 September for others, with 15% for EU products, zero until 2029 for companies with an MFN agreement and an onshoring plan, and zero for listed specialty products, such as orphan only drugs, from eligible partners including the EU.[8]
- Companies are making investment decisions public
- Lilly said it would halve a planned €2.3 billion German investment, and Roche paused future German investment decisions in October 2026.[9][10]
- EU reform is moving
- The Council adopted its position on the pharma package on 28 September 2026, and the Biotech Act is in Parliament committee.[11][12]
A new operating environment
Global pharma companies face overlapping US and European policy pressure in 2026, and their responses vary by portfolio and market exposure. In Germany, a new law raises the mandatory manufacturer rebate on patent protected medicines to 15.5%.[2] In the United States, the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) is investigating whether Germany's pricing practices unfairly undervalue innovative medicines and burden US commerce, while new tariffs and the CMS GLOBE model add trade and Medicare pricing measures.[1][8][13] At EU level, the Biotech Act and the pharma package aim to make Europe more competitive for biotechnology, clinical research and manufacturing.[11][14]
On 22 September 2026, the chairs of AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi, Ipsen, GSK, Novo Nordisk, Novartis, Roche and Sanofi published an open letter warning that Europe is losing ground in pharmaceutical investment to the United States and China.[15][16] The policies differ in purpose and mechanism, yet they reach the same companies. The useful question for those companies is how the combined effect shapes pricing, launches, investment, clinical development and manufacturing.
| Policy and owner | Status at 3 November 2026 | What it changes for companies |
|---|---|---|
| GKV contribution rate stabilization lawGermany, Federal Ministry of Health | In force since 30 July 2026; higher rebate from 1 January 2027 | Manufacturer rebate on patent protected medicines rises from 7% to 15.5%; exclusive rebate contract pilot to 2030 [2, 3] |
| Location clause (Standortklausel)German expert panel for the health and economy ministries | Proposed 29 September 2026; not yet legislated | Partial or full rebate relief for companies with German clinical trials, research and development, investment or production, and collectively agreed jobs [4, 5, 17] |
| Section 301 investigation of GermanyUSTR | Hearing held 22 September 2026; no determination announced | Possible US trade action linked to German pricing [1, 6, 7] |
| Section 232 tariff on patented drugsWhite House and Commerce | In force from 31 July 2026 for listed companies and 29 September 2026 for others | 100% base rate; 15% for EU products; zero until 20 January 2029 for companies with an onshoring plan and an MFN pricing agreement; zero for listed specialty products such as orphan only drugs from eligible partners, including the EU and UK [8, 18] |
| CMS GLOBE modelUS Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services | Final rule issued 30 September 2026 | Tests an international benchmark for Medicare Part B inflation rebates; CMS expects four manufacturers to be required to participate and intends to waive participation for GENEROUS participants [13, 19] |
| EU Biotech ActEuropean Commission, Parliament and Council | Proposed 16 December 2025; in Parliament committee | Faster multinational clinical trial authorization and other biotech incentives [12, 14, 20] |
| EU pharma packageCouncil and Parliament | Council position adopted 28 September 2026; final Parliament vote pending | New regulatory data and market protection rules [11] |
The policy context
Germany: a higher manufacturer rebate
Germany's GKV contribution rate stabilization law (GKV Beitragssatzstabilisierungsgesetz) raises the statutory manufacturer rebate on patent protected medicines from 7% to 15.5% from 1 January 2027.[2][3] The Bundestag passed the law on 10 July 2026 and it entered into force on 30 July 2026.[3][21] It also raises the rebate on patented vaccines, adds a price moratorium for those vaccines, and creates a pilot for exclusive rebate contracts in five drug classes that runs until the end of 2030.[3]
In its press release, the Federal Ministry of Health said the fixed 15.5% rebate replaced a dynamic rebate planned earlier, to give companies planning certainty.
[The change is intended to] ensure that the pharmaceutical industry makes an immediately effective contribution to curbing expenditure.
Germany: a proposed location clause
Germany may soften the rebate for companies with a strong local footprint. On 29 September 2026, an expert panel chaired by Michael Vassiliadis and Michael Hüther handed the health and economy ministries a proposal for an extended location clause.[4] Entry would require clinical research in Germany, with at least 2% of participants in Phase I to III trials at German sites over three years, rising to 4%. Companies could then cut the additional rebate by 2 points for collectively agreed jobs, 3 points for research and development in Germany and 3.5 points for substantial investment or production, and meeting all three would return the rebate to 7%.[4][5] As of 22 October 2026, the legal basis for the extended clause did not yet exist.[17]
- No criteria met The rate from 1 January 202715.5% full rebate
- Collectively agreed jobs in Germany13.5% minus 2 points
- Plus research and development in Germany10.5% minus 3 points
- Plus investment or production All three criteria met7% minus 3.5 points
Expert panel proposal of 29 September 2026 [4] [5]. Bars drawn to one scale.
United States: Section 301, tariffs and GLOBE
USTR opened a Section 301 investigation on 18 June 2026 into Germany's "persistent underpayment" for innovative pharmaceutical products.[1] The inquiry examines whether Germany's acts, policies and practices are unreasonable or discriminatory and burden US commerce.[22] USTR held a public hearing on 22 September 2026, and its investigation page lists no determination or action.[6][7]
For too long, foreign governments have undervalued innovative medicines, forcing U.S. patients and taxpayers to shoulder a disproportionate share of the costs of global innovation.
Section 301 sits alongside other US pricing tracks. By 18 September 2026, the White House said it had MFN pricing agreements with 26 manufacturers covering 89% of the branded drug market.[24] USTR's release opening the Germany investigation points to the arrangement on pharmaceutical pricing that the United States and the United Kingdom announced on 2 April 2026 as a step Germany could follow.[1]
Two further US measures took effect or were finalized in late September 2026. A Section 232 proclamation of 2 April 2026 set a 100% tariff on patented pharmaceuticals, in force from 31 July 2026 for companies listed in its Annex III and from 29 September 2026 for other companies. Products of the EU face 15% unless a lower rate applies; companies elsewhere with approved US onshoring plans face 20%, rising to 100% on 2 April 2030; and companies with an HHS most favored nation (MFN) pricing agreement and an onshoring plan pay no tariff until 20 January 2029.
Specified product groups, including orphan only drugs, plasma derived therapies, cell and gene therapies and antibody drug conjugates, are at zero when they come from eligible partners, and a Commerce notice of 23 September 2026 lists the EU, the UK, Switzerland and Japan among them; other UK products pay 10%.[8][18]
- Default rate Patented drugs and ingredients100%
- Approved US onshoring plan Companies outside the EU20% 100% from 2 Apr 2030
- Products of the EU Unless a lower rate applies15%
- Other UK products10%
- MFN agreement plus onshoring plan0% until 20 Jan 2029
- Listed specialty products From eligible partners, including the EU0%
Section 232 proclamation of 2 April 2026 and Commerce notice of 23 September 2026 [8] [18].
On 30 September 2026, CMS finalized the GLOBE model, which from 1 January 2027 tests an international price benchmark for rebates under the Medicare Part B inflation rebate program. CMS expects only four manufacturers to be required to participate and intends to waive participation for manufacturers in the GENEROUS Medicaid model.[13][19] For companies selling in Europe, GLOBE adds a further US mechanism that compares US prices with prices paid in other countries.
European Union: reforms beyond price
EU policy is focused on competitiveness as well as reimbursement. The European Commission proposed the Biotech Act on 16 December 2025 to simplify regulation, mobilize investment and support biotechnology and biomanufacturing.[14] It would cut the review of multinational clinical trial applications from 106 to 75 days, and to 47 days where no further information is requested from the sponsor.[20]
The EU pharma package, agreed provisionally in December 2025, moved forward when the Council adopted its first reading position on 28 September 2026; the European Parliament's final vote is still pending.[11]
How companies are responding
Companies are combining public advocacy, investment decisions, launch planning and policy engagement, in proportions that depend on portfolio, lifecycle, market exposure, pricing structure and clinical footprint.
Making the competitiveness case
The September open letter is the clearest collective statement so far. Its signatories link Europe's ability to retain investment to faster clinical trials, strong intellectual property protection, sensible digital policy and support for innovation from research through to patient access.[15]
Europe's share of commercial clinical trials, which provide vital revenue for public hospitals and improve patient outcomes, has halved in a decade to 9%.
The chairs also cite more than $600 billion in pharmaceutical investment announced in the United States and China over the past two years, and ask governments to act quickly, including on clinical trials in Europe.[15] Their argument echoes wider advocacy from EFPIA, the European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations, which links clinical trial speed and investment.[25]
European governments must create conditions that attract investment in next-generation medicines before it's too late.
Bringing investment decisions into the public debate
Several companies have tied German investment plans to the policy outcome. In a letter to Chancellor Friedrich Merz reported in June 2026, Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla said the company was reviewing planned German investments.[26][27] Eli Lilly said in June 2026 that it would halve its planned €2.3 billion investment at Alzey, and Boehringer Ingelheim cut €900 million from planned German investments for 2027 to 2030.[9][28] In October 2026, Roche said it had put all future investment decisions in Germany on hold.[10]
As a result, we are reviewing our external engagements as well as the timing, scope, and future prioritization of certain planned investments in Germany.
These are company specific decisions and do not measure investment across the sector.
Making launch conditions more visible
Launch timing in Europe is now part of the public discussion. Reuters reported in March 2026 that some drugmakers were delaying European launches while assessing US pricing policy and international reference price exposure.[29] In April 2026, AstraZeneca CEO Pascal Soriot told a German newspaper that Germany risked missing out on new drugs if it pressed ahead with spending limits.[30]
These statements do not show that launches will be delayed everywhere. They do show companies linking a market's attractiveness to reimbursement, pricing and access, and linking access to the speed of research and development.
Faster, coordinated approvals mean earlier access for patients and stronger investment incentives for research in Europe.
Pricing and contracting
Germany's reform changes the economics of patent protected medicines directly through the higher rebate, while the Section 301 investigation puts Germany's pricing framework into a formal US debate about whether overseas markets pay a fair share of innovation costs.[1][2] Public disclosures do not yet show a common pricing or contracting response. In our reading, the visible change is closer attention to the link between German net prices, rebates, international reference pricing and the attractiveness of European launches. The effect will vary by product, portfolio and local reimbursement terms.
Engaging through live policy processes
Companies and trade associations are shaping policy while it is still open. They took part in the USTR comment and hearing process and can engage with Germany's Pharma and MedTech Dialogue and EU work on the Biotech Act and pharma package.[6][7] Germany launched its dialogue at the Federal Chancellery on 12 November 2025 to discuss conditions for innovation, production and investment.[31] PhRMA publicly supported the Section 301 investigation, and the nine chairs called for changes to Europe's innovation environment.[15][23]
Milestones to watch
The next phase will be shaped by implementation more than by statements of intent. These are the milestones to track.
- Section 301
- The hearing record, any further USTR communications, and any decision on whether to proceed toward a finding or action.[6][7]
- German rebate
- The 15.5% rebate takes effect on 1 January 2027; use of exemptions and the exclusive rebate contract pilot will show the commercial effect.[3]
- Location clause
- Whether the panel's proposal becomes law, how it is financed, and whether it needs EU state aid review.[5][17]
- US tariffs and GLOBE
- Which companies secure onshoring plans or MFN pricing agreements, and how the GLOBE benchmark is applied from 2027.[8][13]
- EU Biotech Act and pharma package
- The Parliament committee vote on the Biotech Act, expected in December 2026, and the final Parliament vote on the pharma package.[11][12]
- Company disclosures
- Changes to investment commitments, manufacturing or R&D plans, launch timing and trial location in earnings and investor materials. Exposure will differ across portfolios.
Frequently asked questions about Section 301 and German drug pricing
Sources: the 31 verified links behind this whitepaper
- 01
Office of the US Trade Representative, “USTR Announces Initiation of Section 301 Investigation of Germany’s Persistent Underpayment for Innovative Pharmaceutical Products,” 18 June 2026.
https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2026/june/ustr-announces-initiation-section-301-investigation-germanys-persistent-underpayment-innovative - 02
German Federal Ministry of Health, “Bundestag beschließt GKV-Beitragssatzstabilisierungsgesetz,” 10 July 2026 (in German).
https://www.bundesgesundheitsministerium.de/presse/pressemitteilungen/bundestag-beschliesst-gkv-beitragssatzstabilisierunggesetz-pm-10-07-2026 - 03
pharmazie.com, “BStabG Passed: 15.5% Manufacturer Discount Fixed, Location Clause Pending,” 6 August 2026.
https://go.pharmazie.com/blog/bstabg-passed-manufacturer-discount - 04
German Federal Ministry of Health, “Pharmastandort Deutschland: Fachgremium übergibt Bericht zur Standortklausel,” 29 September 2026 (in German).
https://www.bundesgesundheitsministerium.de/ministerium/meldungen/bericht-fachgremium-standortklausel - 05
Deutsches Ärzteblatt, “Vorgeschlagene Pharma-Standortklausel steht auf wackeligen Füßen,” 30 September 2026 (in German).
https://www.aerzteblatt.de/news/vorgeschlagene-pharma-standortklausel-steht-auf-wackeligen-fussen-0bb700f6-9019-46bc-b304-73fbd8539460 - 06
Office of the US Trade Representative, “Public Hearing Regarding Section 301 Investigation of Germany’s Persistent Underpayment for Innovative Pharmaceutical Products,” 21 September 2026.
https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2026/september/public-hearing-regarding-section-301-investigation-germanys-persistent-underpayment-innovative - 07
Office of the US Trade Representative, “Section 301: Germany’s Persistent Underpayment for Innovative Pharmaceutical Products,” investigation page, accessed 3 November 2026.
https://ustr.gov/trade-topics/enforcement/section-301-investigations/section-301-germanys-persistent-underpayment-innovative-pharmaceutical-products - 08
The White House, “Adjusting Imports of Pharmaceuticals and Pharmaceutical Ingredients into the United States,” proclamation, 2 April 2026.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/04/adjusting-imports-of-pharmaceuticals-and-pharmaceutical-ingredients-into-the-united-states/ - 09
Reuters, “Lilly to halve planned €2.3 billion investment in Germany, CEO tells newspaper,” 3 June 2026.
https://www.reuters.com/business/lilly-halve-planned-23-billion-investment-germany-ceo-tells-newspaper-2026-06-03/ - 10
Euronews, “Why pharma giant Roche is putting German investments on hold,” 20 October 2026.
https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/20/why-pharma-giant-roche-is-putting-german-investments-on-hold - 11
CMS (law firm), “EU Pharmaceutical Package: what the Council’s revised texts mean for companies,” 2 October 2026.
https://cms.law/en/aut/legal-updates/eu-pharmaceutical-package-what-the-council-s-revised-texts-mean-for-companies - 12
Sidley Austin, “EU Biotech Act I: Parliament and Council Back Europe’s Biotech Competitiveness Agenda,” 21 September 2026.
https://goodlifesci.sidley.com/2026/09/21/eu-biotech-act-i-parliament-and-council-back-europes-biotech-competitiveness-agenda-spc-incentive-now-the-key-battleground/ - 13
American Hospital Association, “CMS finalizes GLOBE drug pricing model,” 1 October 2026.
https://www.aha.org/news/headline/2026-10-01-cms-finalizes-globe-drug-pricing-model - 14
European Commission, “Commission proposes new measures to improve health and healthcare sector,” 16 December 2025.
https://commission.europa.eu/news-and-media/news/commission-proposes-new-measures-improve-health-and-healthcare-sector-2025-12-16_en - 15
AstraZeneca, “Europe Is Losing the Pharma Investment Race, But the Comeback Is Within Reach: an open letter from the Chairs of AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi Group, Ipsen, GSK, Novo, Novartis, Roche and Sanofi,” 22 September 2026.
https://www.astrazeneca.com/media-centre/articles/2026/europe-is-losing-the-pharma-investment-race-but-the-comeback-is-within-reach.html - 16
Reuters, “European drugmakers call for faster trials, more spending to compete with US, China,” 22 September 2026.
https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/european-drugmakers-call-faster-trials-more-spending-compete-with-us-china-2026-09-22/ - 17
Pharmazeutische Zeitung, “Hersteller können Befreiung von Zusatzabschlag beantragen,” 22 October 2026 (in German).
https://www.pharmazeutische-zeitung.de/hersteller-koennen-befreiung-von-zusatzabschlag-beantragen-171330/ - 18
Federal Register (Commerce), “Guidance and Procedures for Implementing Tariff Adjustments for Specialty Pharmaceuticals,” 91 FR 60360, 23 September 2026.
https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/09/23/2026-19498/guidance-and-procedures-for-implementing-tariff-adjustments-for-specialty-pharmaceuticals-and - 19
Federal Register (CMS), “Global Benchmark for Efficient Drug Pricing (GLOBE) Model,” final rule, published 2 October 2026.
https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/02/2026-20281/global-benchmark-for-efficient-drug-pricing-globe-model - 20
Inside EU Life Sciences (Covington), “The Proposed EU Biotech Act Aims to Accelerate and Streamline Procedures for the Approval of Clinical Trials and Combined Studies,” 17 December 2025.
https://www.insideeulifesciences.com/2025/12/17/the-proposed-eu-biotech-act-aims-to-accelerate-and-streamline-procedures-for-the-approval-of-clinical-trials-and-combined-studies/ - 21
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https://www.bundesgesundheitsministerium.de/service/gesetze-und-verordnungen/detail/gkv-beitragssatzstabilisierungsgesetz.html - 22
Federal Register, “Initiation of Section 301 Investigation; Hearing and Request for Public Comments: Germany’s Persistent Underpayment for Innovative Pharmaceutical Products,” 24 June 2026.
https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/06/24/2026-12671/initiation-of-section-301-investigation-hearing-and-request-for-public-comments-germanys-persistent - 23
PhRMA, “PhRMA Statement on USTR’s Initiation of Section 301 Investigation Against Germany,” 18 June 2026.
https://phrma.org/resources/phrma-statement-on-ustr-s-initiation-of-section-301-investigation-against-germany - 24
The White House, “Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Announces Lower Drug Prices for All 50 State Medicaid Programs,” 18 September 2026.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/09/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-announces-lower-drug-prices-for-all-50-state-medicaid-programs/ - 25
EFPIA, “Clinical trials: Swift EU reforms could make 2026 a turning point,” 29 October 2025.
https://www.efpia.eu/news-events/the-efpia-view/blog-articles/clinical-trials-swift-eu-reforms-could-make-2026-a-turning-point/ - 26
Reuters, “Pfizer CEO warns German investment at risk over drug pricing policies,” 10 June 2026.
https://www.reuters.com/world/pfizer-ceo-warns-german-investment-risk-over-drug-pricing-policies-2026-06-10/ - 27
Fierce Pharma, report on Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla’s letter on Germany’s healthcare reform, 10 June 2026.
https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/amid-growing-industry-backlash-germanys-healthcare-reform-plan-pfizer-ceo-bourla-re - 28
Fierce Pharma, report on Lilly and Boehringer Ingelheim plans to cut investment in Germany, 3 June 2026.
https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/lilly-boehringer-plan-slash-investment-germany-report - 29
Reuters, “Drugmakers delay some European launches with a wary eye on Trump’s pricing policies,” 31 March 2026.
https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/drugmakers-delay-some-european-launches-with-wary-eye-trumps-pricing-policies-2026-03-31/ - 30
Reuters, “Germany risks missing out on new drugs, AstraZeneca CEO tells paper,” 21 April 2026.
https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/germany-risks-missing-out-new-drugs-astrazeneca-ceo-tells-paper-2026-04-21/ - 31
Deutsches Ärzteblatt, “Bundesregierung erweitert ihre Pharmastrategie,” 13 November 2025 (in German).
https://www.aerzteblatt.de/themen/biosimilars/bundesregierung-erweitert-ihre-pharmastrategie-c7405899-e082-4e21-9212-032868a21322
Government, regulator and company sources are used where available. Media and law firm reporting is cited for developments and should be read as reporting at the time, not as final policy.
Hero photograph: cottonbro studio / Pexels.